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Cogent Dynamic Averages of Hedge Fund Investment Strategies Post Strong Gains in July: up 1.79% With over 2450 alternative investments reporting results for the month of July 2005, the average hedge fund has advanced +1.796% for the month. Following on the heels of a +1.468% gain in June, alternative investments are ahead by +3.215% for the year to date. Fairfield CT (PRWEB) August 17, 2005 -- Cogent Investment Research LLC, the operator of the free CogentHedge online alternative investment information and analysis resource for investment professionals worldwide (www.cogenthedge.com), reports that as of the tenth business day of August 2005, and with over 2450 entities now reporting results for the month, the Cogent Dynamic Averages are as follows:
Commentary: Current Hedge Fund Performance: The Tortoise or the Hare?
A principal trait of alternative investments is their ability to capture gains in all market cycles. Hedge funds should be able to maintain consistent - but not necessarily large - positive growth month after month. However, different investment strategies excel at different objectives: a strategy that may generate outsized short-term gains in a particular month are less stellar over the long-term. For instance, Emerging Markets Equities, as the second best performing investment strategy in July, returned 3.813% for the month. Consistency? Time Window Analysis, and specifically the '% Profitable Periods' statistic for this strategy shows that it doesn't consistently post positive returns until the rolling two-year time frame; a long-term approach is obviously required for this strategy even though the average two-year gain is nearly 60%. On the other hand, emerging markets debt strategies gained only 1.220% for July but are consistently positive at the rolling six-month period - and show an average two-year gain of 32%.
At what point do various investment strategies hit 100% positive gains?
% Positive Gains by Rolling Time Period ======================================= July Net % Gain =============== All Funds 1.796%
Emerging Markets Equity 3.813% Emerging Markets Debt 1.220%
Pairs Trading 4.580% Index Arbitrage 3.388% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 3.374% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 2.119% Diversified Funds of Funds 1.663% Fixed Income Arbitrage 1.435% Managed Futures 0.316% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage -0.348%
% Positive Gain by Rolling 3-Month Period ========================================= All Funds 81.538%
Emerging Markets Equity 75.385% Emerging Markets Debt 95.385%
Pairs Trading 87.692% Index Arbitrage 63.077% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 76.923% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 81.538% Diversified Funds of Funds 80.000% Fixed Income Arbitrage 95.385% Managed Futures 66.154% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage 84.615%
% Positive Gain by Rolling 6-Month Period ========================================= All Funds 93.548%%
Emerging Markets Equity 77.419% Emerging Markets Debt 100.000%
Pairs Trading 87.097% Index Arbitrage 66.129% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 83.871% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 91.935% Diversified Funds of Funds 91.935% Fixed Income Arbitrage 100.000% Managed Futures 77.419% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage 96.774%
% Positive Gain by Rolling 12-Month Period =========================================
All Funds 100.000%
Emerging Markets Equity 92.857% Emerging Markets Debt 100.000%
Pairs Trading 100.000% Index Arbitrage 62.500% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 85.714% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 100.000% Diversified Funds of Funds 100.000% Fixed Income Arbitrage 100.000% Managed Futures 92.857% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage 100.000%
% Positive Gain by Rolling 18-Month Period =========================================
All Funds 100.000%
Emerging Markets Equity 98.000% Emerging Markets Debt 100.000%
Pairs Trading 100.000% Index Arbitrage 72.000% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 96.000% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 100.000% Diversified Funds of Funds 100.000% Fixed Income Arbitrage 100.000% Managed Futures 98.000% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage 100.000%
% Positive Gain by Rolling 24-Month Period ========================================= All Funds 100.000%
Emerging Markets Equity 100.000% Emerging Markets Debt 100.000%
Pairs Trading 100.000% Index Arbitrage 77.273% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 100.000% Single-Mgr x/Futures Mgrs 100.000% Diversified Funds of Funds 100.000% Fixed Income Arbitrage 100.000% Managed Futures 100.000% Options/Derivatives Arbitrage 100.000%
Alternative investments overall are showing healthy performance gains. Only four investment strategies are still in negative territory for the year to date: Convertible Arbitrage (-4.820%), Credit Spread Arbitrage (-3.288%), Managed Futures (-1.689%) and Options Strategies (-0.942%). All other investment strategies tracked by CogentHedge reported monthly results in the positive range. The top six strategies for the month are as follows:
July 2005 % Gain ========= All Funds 1.796%
Pairs Trading 4.580% Emerging Markets Equity 3.813% Index Arbitrage 3.388% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 3.374% Value Strategies 3.129% Growth Strategies 3.128%
YTD 2005 % Return ======== All Funds 3.215%
Pairs Trading 7.508% Emerging Markets Equity 12.598% Index Arbitrage 6.499% Industry/Sector Specialist L/S 4.899% Value Strategies 5.339% Growth Strategies 5.248%
Current data can be found at http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp.
For more information, come to www.cogenthedge.com.
David Slavin Managing Director Cogent Investment Research LLC +1 609 945-0629
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