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JAVA FOR EMBEDDED DEVICES IS HOT BUT THE QUESTION REMAINS: IF YOU BUILD IT, WILL THEY COME?
Although JAVA devices are estimated to more than double in shipments in 2002 it still is not clear if certain regions of Europe and North America will have the same enthusiastic manner that JAVA has had with ASIA.
For further information or direct quotes contact the individual specified at the bottom of the press release.
Natick, Massachusetts - If 2001 was the breakout year for Java in embedded systems, then 2002 is expected to be the ramp up to volume. "2001 saw the first significant shipments of Java virtual machines for embedded devices. Mobile phones, printers and PDAs were all part of the mix," said Chris Lanfear, Manager of Venture Development Corporation's (VDC) Embedded Software Research Group.
VDC's research showed that OEMs spent $117 million in 2001 to purchase Java technology including Java virtual machine licenses, bundled tools and services. VDC expects these markets to grow at a compound annual growth rate of over 34% through 2006. High growth areas will include mobile phones/smart phones, PDAs/PIMs and digital set top boxes.
CURRENT AND FORECAST SHIPMENTS OF JAVA VIRTUAL MACHINES AND RELATED SERVICES FOR EMBEDDED APPLICATIONS
(Millions of Dollars)
2001 - 117.5
2002 - 161.9
2003 - 255
2004 - 355.2
2005 - 450.1
2006 - 509
Java offers a number of features that make it a natural fit for networked consumer devices including: platform independence, high levels of security, coding efficiency and a large developer community. "VDC estimates that about 20-25 million embedded Java devices shipped in 2001," said VDC's Lanfear; "We expect that number to grow to over 64 million in 2002, not including smart cards." But VDC has concerns about the Java rollout. These include delays in deployment of Java phones outside of Asia, emerging competitors such as Qualcomm's BREW and Microsoft's C#, and ongoing questions about Java's system requirements and execution speed.
"Although Java has substantial momentum at this time, it is clear that the race has not been won just yet," adds Lanfear. "It is still not clear if, for example, Europe and North America will embrace Java phones in the same enthusiastic manner as Asia did; and the competing technologies are becoming better defined."
VDC's research details the strategies of some of the key technology suppliers including long time Java players Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW), Aplix, IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Insignia Solutions (Nasdaq: INSG). There are also a number of smaller companies that are starting to emerge including esmertec, Skelmir, NewMonics, and Kada Systems.
June 2002
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To view the entire press release including charts go to:
www.vdc-corp.com/embedded/press/02/pr02-23.html
Report Availability:
www.vdc-corp.com/embedded/reports/02/br02-31.html
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REPORT AVAILABILITY
VDC's new study is entitled "Java in Embedded Systems". Findings are based on surveys mailed and e-mailed to developers of embedded systems, interviews of engineers, product managers, vice presidents and CEOs at leading software vendors and equipment manufacturers, and extensive secondary research. The report contains dollar volume and unit forecasts for Java virtual machines in embedded applications through 2006, as well as extensive developer and licensee data. VDC has also included an analysis of Java on Silicon technology including market development scenarios.
ABOUT VENTURE DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION
Venture Development Corporation (VDC) is a leading provider of market research and consulting services to the embedded systems community, with over 15 years of experience in this area. As part of VDC's Embedded Software Strategic Market Intelligence Program, the firm recently published ground-breaking reports on Vertical Markets and Applications Analysis, Internet Enabling Applications and Middleware, Embedded Operating Systems, Software Development Tools, and Systems Design Automation Tools. Other reports on the embedded marketplace include the World Market for Merchant Computer Boards in Real-Time and Embedded Applications. VDC also published Linux's Future in the Embedded Systems Market and Windows in Embedded Systems in April 2002. VDC offers a significant body of market research reports on embedded systems as part of its ongoing Embedded Systems Market Research Program.
For further information regarding "Java in Embedded Systems" contact:
Chris Lanfear, Embedded Group Manager
508-653-9000 x145
chrisl@vdc-corp.com
or
Marc Regberg, Senior Vice President
508-653-9000 x 111
msr@vdc-corp.com
Venture Development Corporation
One Apple Hill Drive, Box 8190, Natick, MA 01760
Tel: 508-653-9000 Fax: 508-653-9836 Web: http://www.vdc-corp.com
If you wish to subscribe to VDC updates go to:
www.vdc-corp.com/subscriptions
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