La Nina 2003 Fading into History.

Cool water La Nina fading into Nada Nina. El Nino to dominate in 2004.

For Immediate Release
Gregg Suhler
Dynamic Predictables, L.L.C.
P.O. Box 1365
Columbia, Mo 65202-1365
(573) 815-0520
http://www.dynamicpredictables.com

La Nina fading into Nada Nina. El Nino to Follow in 2004.

Dynamic Predictables today indicated the budding La Nina (cold tropical eastern Pacific waters) now being recognized by even the most casual observer, is already fading into Nada Nina and will begin a rapid transition into El Nino (warm tropical eastern Pacific waters) by January 2004. A dip back in NINO3 (geographically eastern Pacific, but non-adjacent to the coast) should occur around May 2004 but then the NINO3 peaking should occur on or around January 2005.

This transitional Nada Nina (eastern tropical sea surface temperatures less than +1 or -1 degree from the norm) pattern will mean the remainder of the 2003 crop-growing season will see variable tropical Pacific Ocean influences. Local geography and already established climate weather patters will dominate. Dynamic Predictables is forecasting near normal July temperatures thru the Corn Belt with some tendency for warmth in the north. Precipitation will trend to the dry side of normal, a pattern many would consider positive unless those trends were to continue and intensify in August. Nada Nina is a descriptive term first used by Al Peterin to describe the transitional phase of ENSO, that time period when the tropical eastern Pacific temperature regime cannot be called El Nino or La Nina.

El Nino impacts will reign on agricultural interests for the 2004-planting season. Typically, an El Nino pattern implies a promise of generous and timely rains throughout the US grain belts. Rain makes grain (1993 excepted!), so the 2004 crop year could begin on a promising note for US producers even as more droughty impacts threatens crop prospects in other parts of the world.

Dynamic Predictables is a private weather, water and climate corporation providing comprehensive weather, climate and impact assessment of agriculture, construction, distribution, energy and custom climatology interests. Dynamic Predictables mean monthly outlooks of temperature and precipitation are available for one full year and more in advance. Dynamic Predictables seasonal model provides a forecast for every climate division in the United States. The graphical El Nino outlook and the July monthly mean temperature and precipitation outlooks are available at web site http://www.dynamicprdictables.com    August outlooks, now available for a fee, will be released to the public on July 15, 2003.

Contact:
Al Peterlin 717.329.4748
Gregg Suhler 573.815.0520