Think You Know Who Will Win the Election? Wanna Bet?

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With hours to go before the next president of the U.S. is elected, and the race closer than it has ever been before, predictions for the presidential election of 2004 are as plentiful as they are varied.

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With hours to go before the next president of the U.S. is elected, and the race closer than it has ever been before, predictions for the presidential election of 2004 are as plentiful as they are varied. Pundits and experts seem to be as split as the public: Half tout another four years for George W. Bush while half espouse a Sen. John Kerry presidency.

Now internet odds maker Play4Kicks wants those spin doctors to put their money where their mouth is. That is, why not bet on who the next president will be.

That’s right. Even on the day of the election, even after the polls have opened in all 50 states, online casinos, sportsbooks and odds makers are still taking bets on who will the election.

“It’s a great wager,” says Eli Feldblum, Director of Play4Kicks, which offers up-to-date polling and odds on the next U.S. President. “Bush and Kerry are practically tied. Both pay out at above 1 to 1. You’ll never see a sporting event where both teams are pegged to win—or lose.”

Polls released early today show Bush with a slight lead, around 2%, in most National Polls. Given the margin of error, and the fact that Kerry leads nationally in a Fox poll, means the national vote is practically tied.

Where it gets interesting is in regard to the “swing states.” The electoral votes in these states will really determine who wins the election. But conflicting polls released today show that no one knows who leads in these states. Bush leads in Florida according to a Quinnipiac poll, but Kerry leads there according to Fox poll. Kerry leads in Ohio according to Gallup, but Fox has Bush leading in Ohio.

“It’ll be down to the wire,” says Feldblum. “There is no favorite. I don’t even know whom to bet on.”

SportsInteraction is paying 1.72 for a Bush win and 2.00 for a Kerry win. U.K. casino Ladbrokes is paying 4 to 6 for a Bush victory and 11 to 10 for a Kerry presidency.

For full polls and odds, and to bet on whom you think will win, visit Play4Kicks.

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Eli Feldblum
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