SportsInsights.com Exclusive Sports Marketplace Continues Beating the Odds with 14-4 Record for NFL Season; Reveals Winning Insights for NFL Week 5 Key Matchups

SportsInsights.com Weekly Column Provides Sports Fans Latest News and Insights on Betting Statistics for Top NFL Matchups.

(PRWEB) October 8, 2005 -- SportsInsights.com announced it's exclusive Sports Marketplace report is on a four week winning streak; beating sportsbooks going into week 5 of the NFL Season.

In a separate announcement, SportsInsights.com has added real-time betting data from 5Dimes Sportsbook and Casino and new "Smart Money Alerts" to its Sports Investing toolkit. You can find details of this announcement at www.sportsinsights.com/news.asp.

Currently, SportsInsights.com analysis has resulted in a 14-4 winning record. The latest edition of Sports Marketwatch takes a look at what to expect based on its early analysis.

SPORTS MARKETWATCH
NFL Week 5 – Early Moves
10/6/2005
by Daniel Fabrizio
SportsInsights.com

Welcome to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all access pass with Sports Marketplace!

Every Tuesday and Friday afternoon he speaks directly with the line managers at SportsInsights.com partners Pinnacle, Bowmans, 5Dimes, Carib and Oasis about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. So far, the first four weeks of the season have produced a lot of surprises. Dan takes a look at what’s in store for week 5 in the NFL.

--SPORTS MARKETPLACE – NFL WEEK 5--

-NFL Week 4 Recap-

As predicted NFL Week 4 saw significantly lower handle sizes because of the previous three week losing streak by the public. Steve Stone line manager at Oasis put it best, “you can’t bet what you don’t have.” But after a dismal start, NFL Week 4 went decidedly the public’s way. All books reported their first losing NFL Sunday of the season. “Teasers really hammered us this weekend,” noted Scott Kaminsky line manager at Bowmans.com. “The late games on Sunday and Monday Night Football were the worst possible outcomes…pretty much all teasers hit which means a long day of payouts for the accounting staffs.”

SportsInsights.com analysis shows that in games with over 70% of the action on one side the public was a lackluster 2-2. Most of the sportsbooks loses came because of teasers and games will smaller decisions 60-70% range, the public was 5-0.* However, SportsInsights.com Games to Watch analysis posted it’s fourth straight winning weekend going 2-1. Overall, that makes SportsInsights.com 14-4.
View last week’s column.
*source: SportsInsights.com

--NFL WEEK 5 SPORTS MARKETWATCH – GAMES TO WATCH--
Look for handle sizes to bounce back this week. The public has a little more money and a lot of confidence. This week is already shaping up to have eight major decisions in contrast to last week which only had four major decisions. Let’s see what NFL Week 5 has in store.

-Tampa Bay vs New York Jets-
View Live Stats - http://www.sportsinsights.com/top_matchups.asp

Early sharp money taking NYJ +3.5. “We opened at 3.5 and quickly moved to 3 after taking some early sharp money on the dog,” said Scott Kaminsky from Bowmans.com. There is some uncertainty if Cadillac Williams will play and be effective but the consensus feeling is that public action will push this line back to 3.5.

Play on New York Jets +3.5

-Miami vs Buffalo-
View Live Stats - http://www.sportsinsights.com/top_matchups.asp

Buffalo opened at -2.5. The oddsmakers couldn’t have made it any clearer. They want the public to take Miami. Buffalo is coming off a bad loss to the displaced Saints. Right now, this line looks too good to be true. We tag this one as a trap game. As expect early public action is predominantly coming in on Miami. A couple of books have opened at 3 and stuck to it. “We feel 3 is the correct number and plan to stick to it,” says Scott Kaminsky of Bowmans.com.

The overall analysis at SportsInsights.com is that this line will move to 3 and stay there. We’re betting this game early Buffalo -2.5.

Play on Buffalo -2.5

-Indianapolis vs San Francisco-
View Live Stats - http://www.sportsinsights.com/top_matchups.asp

Indianapolis is coming off an impressive trouncing of Tennessee and looks to pounce on the hapless 49ers. Adding to the mix is the fact that the 49ers will have a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start. “This will be one of the biggest decisions for the books,” says 5Dimes.com’s line manager. “I think they could put 21 points on this game and you’d still get action on the Colts. Just about every parlay and teaser will include Indianapolis.”

As expected a lot of early public money has been put on Indianapolis. The uncertainty around the San Francisco quarterback situation has also attracted some sharp players. Oasis and Bowmans.com both report some early sharp action on the Colts. The game opened at 14 and quickly moved to 15. Let’s face it, you don’t see at 15 point home underdog in the NFL that often. Wait to bet this game late, we anticipate the line to move to 16-16.5.

Scott Kaminsky of Bowmans.com says bluntly, “you’d need balls of steel to take San Francisco.” One the toughest things about Fading the Public is that you continually have to bet on the worst teams. It goes against basic instincts…but is exactly because of this bias that fading is profitable. You’ll get an extra 1-2 points just because of the public and media’s negative perceptions and biases. For this reason, San Francisco is a great value play.

Play on San Fran +16

-Carolina vs Arizona-
View Live Stats - http://www.sportsinsights.com/top_matchups.asp

Carolina continues to be a public favorite. Early public money is pouring in on Carolina but early sharp action on the dog pushed this line to 2.5. “We opened at 3 and saw a lot of early public money taking Carolina 3, then ‘wham’ – a couple of our sharp players, sensing a real value at 3, bet the line down t 2.5,” remarked 5Dimes.com line manager.

“Early sharp action moved us off 3 but I expect the flood of public money to push this game back to 3 on Sunday,” says Scott Kaminsky of Bowmans.com. We’re following the sharp money and taking Arizona +3 at home.

Play on Arizona +3

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights.com analysis of this week’s Games to Watch for NFL Week 5.
Games to Watch (14-4)
New York Jets +3.5
Buffalo -2.5
San Fran +16
Play on Arizona +3

It should be another wild NFL Week 5. Keep Sports Marketplace picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

I’ll be back next Friday to update you on the latest lines directly from the top online sportsbooks.

--About SportsInsights.com--

Founded in 1997, SportsInsights.com is a statistical content site that tracks betting activity at major sportsbooks. SportsInsights.com’s unique content and live betting statistics have propelled it to the forefront of the competitive world of sports information. SportsInsights.com uses pioneering betting charts to track the percentage of bets and money placed on every major sporting event. SportsInsights.com is not a sportsbook or a betting/trading exchange site, but has agreements with six major online sportsbooks, OasisCasino.com, BetWWTS.com, CaribSports.com, Sportbet.com, 5Dimes and Sportsbook.com to display statistics on how any major sporting event is being bet. All information comes directly from online sportsbooks and represents actual bets placed at the contributing sportsbooks. For more information, visit http://www.sportsinsights.com.

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