Author Craig Scott Goldsmith Weighs in on Climate Change in Time for Earth Day

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According to Craig Scott Goldsmith, author of "Uninhabitable: A Case for Caution," there is a growing consensus of scientists who feel we may have already passed the crucial tipping points beyond which we cannot hope to stay below a 2 degree rise in global temperatures and that dangerous climate change is inevitable.

Uninhabitable: A Case for Caution

According to C.S. Goldsmith, author of "Uninhabitable: A Case for Caution," there is a growing consensus of scientists who feel we may have already passed the crucial tipping points beyond which we cannot hope to stay below a 2 degree rise in global temperatures and that dangerous climate change is inevitable.

Goldsmith says one of the more troubling prospects for a world that is 2 degrees on average warmer is the thawing of the frozen tundra in Siberia, a million square miles of peat bogs the size of Germany that contains vasts amounts of Methane Hydrate. Methane is a Green house gas that is 23 times more powerful than CO2,and its fingerprint, light Carbon 12 has been linked to 4 out of 5 of the last major extinction events. A major disassociation in this region would take temperatures outside the range of our ability to adapt, similar to conditions during the Permian Period that saw loss of 95% of species on the planet, with temperatures reaching 16 to 30 degrees on average higher than today, outside of the threshold where most species can survive including our own.

"With that ominous prospect hanging over us we are planning on adding 2000 new coal fire burning plants, 2 billion additional automobiles onto the highways and 2.5 to 3 billion additional people on to an already overcrowded overburdened planet," says Goldsmith.

The big question Goldsmith asks is this: "Given our continued use of fossil fuels a projected 50% growth in energy needs, population expansion, automobile increases and building of new coal fire burning plants can we reduce CO2 enough to stay below crucial tipping points. The short answer is no."

Goldsmith details his answer:

  • Total Human output of C02 is approx. 7 Gig Tons (a Gig ton is 1000 million Metric tons -- a Metric Ton is 2200 lbs)
  • The reduction Goal set by the US is 60% or down to 3.1 (Gig Tons)
  • Increase of CO2 from population increases, autos, and new coal fire burning plants 9.8 (Gig Tons)
  • The total output of CO2 could reach approx. 13.7 Gig Tons, an increase of 6.7 Gig tons instead of a decrease.

So is there a answer to get us out from behind the climate change 8 ball in time, there is one but it must be handled right with all the options considered and consequences weighed and then implemented as soon as possible, says Goldsmith.

"Geo-engineering is the way, but how we do it is really the answer. We already have many excellent Geo-engineering plans on the table and the worlds scientific community will certainly find a solution that will work then it will a engineering project worthy of an Apollo program or a Manhattan project to implement it. But in the end we could save most of the world we currently call our only home and preserve enough of the earth's ecosystems so that our great grand children could say it still resembles the world we know today, and in the process save billions of people and other species around the globe," says Goldsmith.

Goldsmith asserts, "We are in fact the last of 20 Hominids that preceded us in our ancestral tree and our survival is by no means assured or guaranteed. Only by making the right choices in time can we hope to continue to thrive."

Craig Scott Goldsmith is the author of "Uninhabitable: A Case for Caution," available at Barnes & Noble and Amazon.com. Goldsmith is a Harvard graduate and President of an insurance company, has spent
over 8 years researching the climate change problem by examining the data from the various scientific disciplines from a risk perspective of the insurance industry, looking for ways to mitigate that risk. The book outlines the risks of climate change and the potential solutions to perhaps the single greatest risk to ever face humanity since the first humans left that footprint in the rocks millions of years ago.

For interview requests, email scgold711 (at) aol (dot) com

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Scott Goldsmith
Goldstar Publications
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