New Series, We Hardly Knew Ye: Forecasting Fall TV's First Flops

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Just a few weeks into the new season, which television shows are already on the chopping block? Snackable Media's Predicto.com, the country's largest premium SMS provider, has the mobile scoop.

The writing wasn’t just on the wall for 'Lone Star' – it was etched in text messages too. At the leading mobile prediction site Predicto.com 72% of members voted that 'Lone Star' would be the new fall show to flop first.

Fall is an exciting time for TV viewers. All summer long, the networks dangle shiny promos and big promises about their new slate of programming. Unfortunately, most shows never live up to the hype and many touted as "can't miss" television are in fact gone before viewers can even say "see ya".

The season's first casualty was Fox's "Lone Star." The critics adored it -- unfortunately, the public barely knew it existed. Debuting to only 4.1 million viewers, it was axed after just two episodes. The writing wasn't just on the wall for this doomed show - it was etched in text messages too. At the leading mobile prediction site Predicto.com, an overwhelming 72% of members voted that "Lone Star" would be the new fall show to flop first. It never stays lonely for long in Cancellation Land; ABC's "My Generation" apparently didn't appeal to any generation, and was also given the boot after just two episodes.

So what other shows are sitting on death row, hoping for a last minute appeal? Coming into the season "Outlaw" had big potential - ironic, considering the NBC series is produced by ousted "Tonight Show" host Conan O'Brien's company. Yet the show's star Jimmy Smits has a huge fan base from his lead roles in classic dramas "NYPD Blue" and "L.A. Law." Despite Smits' TV pedigree, ratings for "Outlaw" have been embarrassingly low. The New York Post exclaimed it was "so bad it should be listed as a Class A felony."

Fox's rookie comedy "Running Wilde," created by Mitchell Hurwitz of "Arrested Development" fame and starring Will Arnett, had all the trappings of a surefire hit. Instead, it's turning into a certain failure, drawing less than 6 million viewers for its premiere episode. "Arrested Development" survived three seasons solely on critical buzz. It's hard to believe that "Running Wilde" will be afforded the same luxury.

Not only do rookie programs have it tough, even some returning shows are looking unstable. According to the New York Daily News, CBS's "Medium," NBC's "Chuck," Fox's "The Good Guys" and the CW's "Life Unexpected" are all experiencing low ratings and should not be surprised by a visit from TV's version of the Grim Reaper.

Of course there are some shows that seem to be sticking around longer than would seem prudent. Many wonder why the tribe has not spoken yet on the fates of ill-received fare such as CBS's "$#*! My Dad Says" and NBC's "Outsourced." Is it a coincidence that the shows most loathed by critics get love in the ratings? To see more commentary and read all the latest prime-time predictions, visit Predicto.com's TV page.

About PredictoMobile

Predicto Mobile is a market-leading interactive SMS provider that engages members on pop culture and current events. The service operates on the short code 654654. Additionally, Predicto has established itself as a prime destination for media to reference statistics, polls and public opinion. Visit Predicto.com to follow the company's entertainment blog, news updates, top polls and Twitter feed, or go to TV.Predicto.com for videos featuring the latest red-carpet interviews and celebrity predictions. Predicto Mobile is a Snackable Media company.

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Peter Dedman
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