Global LTE Macro Base Station Deployments to Reach 1.5 Million by 2015

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Ericsson #1 While Huawei and Alcatel-Lucent Battle for #2, Says In-Stat

Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent have become the early LTE leaders as a result of modernization contracts with Verizon and AT&T. Nokia-Siemens Networks recently claimed a prestigious contract win with Telecom Italia.

With an enormous amount of capital in play, the battle for LTE base station deployment has attracted both small and heavy hitting suitors alike. New In-Stat ( research details the biggest winners in the LTE infrastructure build-out sweepstakes. In-Stat is forecasting that the total number of LTE macro base station deployments will reach 1.5 million in 2015, with Ericsson claiming a dominant #1 position while Huawei and Alcatel-Lucent battle it out for the second spot.

“Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent have become the early LTE leaders as a result of modernization contracts with Verizon and AT&T. Nokia-Siemens Networks recently claimed a prestigious contract win with Telecom Italia,” says Chris Kissel, Analyst. “Huawei has won both A1 Telekom and T-Mobile in Austria. Samsung has been instrumental in the MetroPCS LTE launch and will be a major factor in South Korea as their LTE market comes online.”

Recent research found the following:

  •     Ericsson is the clear market leader through 2014. However, in 2015, four cellular infrastructure vendors will realize $2 billion or more in revenues from LTE RAN equipment sales.
  •     In 2015, as Asia Pacific countries deploy LTE in earnest, Ericsson, Huawei, Alcatel-Lucent, and Nokia Siemens will all have at least 10% of newly deployed LTE macro base station shipments in 2015.
  •     In the years 2011-2015, LTE RAN revenues will grow at a CAGR of 41%.
  •     The top five vendors in global LTE EPC/router/gateways in 2012 will be Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Ericsson, Huawei, and Nokia Siemens Networks.
  •     Alcatel-Lucent will dominate the LTE packet backhaul infrastructure space in Central and Latin America in 2012, with Cisco and Ericsson assuming the #2 and #3 positions.

New In-Stat research, LTE Infrastructure Rankings, by Vendor, by Mobile Operator or Service Provider, 2009-2015 (#IN1105057GW) details the LTE RAN infrastructure CAPEX for macro base stations, re-purposed base stations, IP packet backhaul, and evolved packet core categories. It Includes:

  •     LTE subscriptions and LTE POP by country is presented from 2009-2015.
  •     CAPEX considers LTE deployments from 2009 through 2015
  •     167 primary mobile operators plus 20 additional “rest of” markets are covered.
  •     LTE RAN spending by mobile operator and by cellular infrastructure vendor is estimated.
  •     Revenue estimates are made for Ericsson, Huawei, Nokia Siemens, Alcatel-Lucent, ZTE, Samsung, NEC, Cisco, Juniper, and Tellabs.

About In-Stat
In-Stat’s market intelligence combines technical, market and end-user research and database models to analyze the Mobile Internet and Digital Entertainment ecosystems. Our insights are derived from a deep understanding of technology impacts, nearly 30 years of history in research and consulting, and direct relationships with leading players in each of our core markets. In-Stat provides its research through reports, annual subscriptions, consulting and advisory services to inform critical decisions. Technology vendors, equipment manufacturers, service providers and media companies worldwide rely on In-Stat to support critical business, product and technology decisions.

The NPD Group recently announced the acquisition of In-Stat. With the acquisition, In-Stat joins NPD’s growing portfolio of analyst businesses, including DisplaySearch, Solarbuzz, and Connected Intelligence. All of the businesses cover rapidly changing technology industries that have complex global supply chains and evolving end market behaviors, such as devices and hardware, digital content and usage, and energy and the environment.


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