It’s down to the wire and the experts we surveyed believe this could go either way. Although Mitt Romney has momentum, it remains to be seen whether he can overcome Obama’s swing state advantage.
San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) October 31, 2012
With days to go before the 2012 election, President Barack Obama’s holds a razor-thin advantage over challenger Mitt Romney, according to twenty-five top political insiders surveyed by Maven, the Global Knowledge Marketplace. Unlike “opinion polls” which measure political preferences among voters, Maven sought the opinions of influential political consultants, lobbyists, and government relations professionals about the outcome of the current campaign. Although a slim majority of experts still believe Obama will prevail next week, Romney has gained significant ground and threatens to unseat the incumbent.
Maven’s previous tracking survey conducted in September of the same group of experts showed Barack Obama beating Romney by a margin of 56% to 44% on the question of who is likely to win in November, a decline from a lead of 40 percentage points in the survey’s April edition. That lead has tightened to a scant four percent in the latest survey, reflecting Romney’s recent strength in the wake of a strong performance in the debates. 52 percent of respondents believe that Barack Obama will win reelection in November 2012, his lowest level of support since October 2011. Meanwhile, 48% of respondents selected Romney as the likely winner, his highest level of support since polling began in June 2011.
“It’s down to the wire and the experts we surveyed believe this could go either way. Although Mitt Romney has momentum, it remains to be seen whether he can overcome Obama’s swing state advantage,” commented Maven Co-Founder and CEO Wyatt Nordstrom. “For the first time since we began this series of Surveys, our respondents’ views closely match the public polling.”
This is the eighth and final in a series of surveys conducted by Maven leading up to the November 2012 election. Results are tracked to illustrate how sentiment among the respondent population changes as events unfold. Additional commentary and full results tracking are available at http://www.maven.co/blog/2012/10/30/october-presidential-survey/.
Members of the news media interested in speaking with the Survey respondents should contact Maven at info(at)maven(dot)co.
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