(PRWEB) November 28, 2012
Part of the Busted! Grid, Busted! Mugshots reviews statistics to help residents understand crime trends in Milwaukee. Compiled from the FBI's Uniform Crime Report these numbers provide an overview of national and local crime trends.
Property crimes in Milwaukee fell 5.3% in 2011.
Milwaukee's reported property crimes fell overall despite increases in the number of burglaries and motor vehicle thefts for the year. Reports of larceny thefts dropped by more than 11%, offsetting the increases in burglaries and auto thefts. All three types of crimes comprise the property crime category.
Nationally, the average crime rate has decreased every year since 2002, but for Milwaukee the numbers have been relatively flat.
Since crime rates are based on population estimates, large changes in population can have equally large effects on the crime rate.The population estimates for Milwaukee used in the UCR show a large decline in population followed by an equally large increase to ultimately end up with a slight rise in population over a ten year period.
If we were to even out the peaks and valleys in the population over this period it would result in smaller changes over the last 11 years. Without explanation for the large changes in population estimates it may be better to adjust the population estimates so that the changes are not as large.
Looking at the crime rates with adjusted population would indicate that although the violent crime rate has crept up and property crime rates have crept down there have not been drastic shifts in either category from 2000 to 2011.
Individual property crime categories 2010 to 2011
Burglary 7.5% increase
Theft 11% decrease
Auto Theft 4.8% increase
For 2011, violent crime fell 5.8% based primarily on fewer reported aggravated assaults which decreased by 12%. Fewer homicides and rapes also contributed to the overall decrease but these categories represent a much smaller portion of overall violent crime. Among the individually tracked categories, robberies showed a slight increase in 2011.
Homicides 10.5% decrease
Rape 1.0% decrease
Robbery .7% increase
Aggravated Assault 12.1% decrease
Milwaukee crime is down from 2010 in both property and violent crime categories but looking at the city’s numbers from 2000 to the present shows that in the long term crime rates for the city have not changed much.
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