Weather Services International: Relatively Mild and Stormy Winter Expected in Western/Northern Europe

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Preseason Forecasts and Statistical Relationships Generally Aligned, Suggesting Decreased Odds of North Atlantic Blocking Again This Winter

WSI European Winter Outlook Nov 2012-Jan 2013

WSI European Winter Outlook Nov 2012-Jan 2013

Looking ahead further, the climate models and statistical predictors are suggestive of another winter with limited North Atlantic blocking.

WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (November-January) to average slightly higher than normal across most regions, with the exception of parts of far southeastern Europe.

“As we head into November, it appears we may have a stretch of rather cold weather across much of Europe early in the month. We have reduced our forecast temperatures for November in many locations based on these trends, as well as climate model forecasts. Looking ahead further, the climate models and statistical predictors are suggestive of another winter with limited North Atlantic blocking,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, WSI Chief Meteorologist. “This would result in relatively mild and wet conditions across the UK and Scandinavia, with a cooler and drier winter across southern Europe. Climate models are suggesting that January and February may be particularly warm and wet across western/northern Europe.”

In November, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal
UK*      – Cooler than normal
Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except France/Benelux
Southern Mainland* – Warmer than normal

In December, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region    – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except extreme eastern sections
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except extreme eastern sections

In January, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK     – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except extreme eastern sections Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except extreme eastern sections

WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook, including the late autumn and early winter forecast, on 19 November.

*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.

About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. More information about WSI can be found at http://www.wsi.com.

Contacts:
Linda Maynard    
Weather Services International     
001-978-983-6715    
lmaynard(at)wsi(dot)com    

Editorial Contact:
Barbara Rudolph    
Rudolph Communications, LLC
001-781-229-1811
bjr(at)rudolphcommunications(dot)com

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Linda Maynard

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