YourEnergyBlog Predicts This Summer Will Bring Similar Demand Response Schedule as 2012

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Expected high temperatures this summer will again result in the need for demand response programs and energy management.

Demand Response

Energy Curtailment Specialists, Inc.

“The 2012 summer season was steady, but also very manageable for us and successful for our customers and affiliates,” states Jim Korczykowski, President of Energy Curtailment Specialists.

YourEnergyBlog, partner of demand response (DR) provider Energy Curtailment Specialists, reports the expectation of another steady summer for DR in 2013.

The 2012 summer season was the third-warmest on record, according to weather experts at WeatherBug, which is owned by Earth Networks. July 2012 was officially named the hottest month ever recorded, with over 27,000 new records set for daily high-temperatures around the country. Persistent requests for demand response management across the country ensued, resulting in tens of thousands of megawatts worth of reduction. These reductions greatly reduce the risk of costly brownouts and blackouts, since electrical draw increases considerably across a region when individuals make their best efforts to stay cool when the mercury rises.

New York State, controlled by the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), activated three demand response events last summer from the persistent heat in late June through the month of July. Based on projections from WeatherBug, temperatures should remain average for the entire state this summer. As a result, it appears doubtful that the NYISO should need to exceed three events for the summer of 2013.

The PJM Interconnection, responsible for over 165,000 megawatts total and megawatt reductions in the thousands for DR, is expected to see normal to slightly-above-average temperatures throughout its footprint this summer, depending on the region. All in all, some parts of Illinois, Indiana, Western Pennsylvania and Virginia will encounter the hottest weather in the PJM region this summer. Over 17,000 megawatts were reduced for PJM last June alone, and a considerable amount of which was along the coast of New Jersey, Virginia and Eastern Pennsylvania.

The California ISO also issued Flex Alerts last summer, although the majority did not occur until August. One alert, sent out on August 10th, ended up reducing almost 1,000 megawatts for the state. Although some areas of Eastern California are expected to see more heat than average, the majority of demand response participants are on the west coast. Overall, demand response performance for the state should remain comparable to the figures from 2012.

The most contentious forecast however, stems from the Great Plains and the Rocky Mountain region.

“After examining all available data, we expect to see a summer that is somewhat similar to 2012,” stated senior meteorologist James Aman for the WeatherBug meteorological team. He continued, “One of the biggest stories weather-wise that we will be watching is the drought across Texas into the Southern Rockies…we will likely be in for an interesting season.”

Most states that will encounter significantly increased temperatures, like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah, are located in areas which do not participate in electric deregulation. This means that demand response is limited. Unfortunately, this region is expected to be inundated with sweltering weather this summer, with temperatures above 50% higher than normal in some places.

Parts of Northern and Western Texas will also encounter extreme heat for the season, based on estimates. However, like California, the areas with the most participants in DR programs are located in an area where projections are slightly less severe. The eastern and southern regions of the state, primarily including Dallas and Houston, are either expected to experience normal summer temperatures, or slightly-above-normal.

“The 2012 summer season was steady, but also very manageable for us and successful for our customers and affiliates,” states Jim Korczykowski, President of Energy Curtailment Specialists. He added, “We have complete confidence that whatever the 2013 season throws our way, we’ll be ready to provide the same top quality service and reliability as in years past.”

About YourEnergyBlog – YEB is devoted to offering insight into the energy industry. Follow YEB to learn about new energy-related technology, US energy policy changes, and other current energy news.

About Energy Curtailment Specialists, Inc. - ECS offers consultative, administrative, and turnkey demand response services. ECS is one of the largest demand response service providers in North America, with more than 10,000 customers participating in its programs nationwide.

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Kristopher Settle
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