Weather Services International: New Pattern of More Seasonable European Winter Temperatures Likely

Share Article

North Atlantic “Blocking” Will End the Very Mild, Early Winter and May Usher in Much Cooler Weather

News Image
...we are only expecting slightly below-normal temperatures in parts of western Europe in February.

WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (February-April) to average lower than normal across the UK, along with parts of western Europe and Norway, with above-normal temperatures common elsewhere, most notably, across southeastern Europe.

“The first half of winter has clearly been much milder than the last couple of winters, as a very strong polar vortex has controlled the pattern, so far, and shielded Europe from any sustained cold. Recently, the vortex has weakened, allowing for atmospheric blocking to develop, first in the North Pacific and, eventually, in the North Atlantic. This North Atlantic blocking, otherwise known as the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), will allow a return to, at least, seasonably cold weather across much of Europe in February,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. “While North Atlantic blocking may develop in early February, current indications suggest that the rest of the northern hemispheric pattern will not enable bitter Arctic air flow into Europe, at least initially. Because of this, we are only expecting slightly below-normal temperatures in parts of western Europe in February. Beyond that, we generally expect the negative NAO to be in control during the spring, with below-normal temperatures expected across the Nordic Region and parts of northern mainland Europe.”

In February, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal Sweden/Finland, cool Norway
UK* – Cooler than normal
Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except Benelux
Southern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except France/Iberia

In March, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
UK – Warmer than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia

In April, WSI forecasts:
Nordic Region – Cooler than normal
UK – Cooler than normal
Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except France/Benelux
Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia

WSI, providing customized weather information to energy traders, will issue its next seasonal outlook on 20 February.

*To view the map defining WSI’s European regions, click here.

About Weather Services International
Weather Services International is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. More information about WSI can be found at

Linda Maynard    
Weather Services International     

Editorial Contact:
Barbara Rudolph    
Rudolph Communications, LLC

# # #

Share article on social media or email:

View article via:

Pdf Print

Contact Author

Linda Maynard

Barbara Rudolph
Visit website