Dallas, TX (PRWEB) February 28, 2013
This study analyzes the US prefabricated housing industry. It presents historical demand data for the years 2002, 2007 and 2012, and forecasts for 2017 and 2022 by prefabricated housing type (e.g., manufactured, modular, precut, penalized) and US regional market (Northeast, Midwest, South, West). The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles industry competitors in the US market.
US demand to expand 15% annually through 2017
Demand for prefabricated housing through 2017 will benefit from an expected recovery in overall US housing demand from the subdued 2012 level. Prefabricated housing demand is forecast to expand 15 percent annually through 2017 to 135,000 units. The US prefabricated housing industry encompasses a number of shelter products — manufactured, modular, precut, and penalized housing — that reduce the need for on-site construction. While the rebound in overall housing demand will boost demand for all prefabricated housing, the trends will differ for manufactured housing and other prefabricated types. Manufactured housing’s market share is projected to drop from that of the 2007- 2012 period as conventional mortgages become easier to obtain. Thus growth in manufactured housing demand will trail that of overall single-family housing demand. For other prefabricated housing, market shares will be little changed, and demand increases will be similar to that for single-family housing overall.
Manufactured housing has gained share of total prefabricated housing market
Over the past decade and a half, the fate of manufactured housing has differed markedly from that of the other prefabricated housing products. Manufactured housing suffered declines in demand almost every year for the past decade. The decline actually began in the late 1990s, when manufacturing housing lenders increased approvals to sub prime borrowers for low and no down payment loans. As the US economy cooled at the turn of the millennium, some of these borrowers defaulted on their loans, generating a rise in repossessed units, which then competed with new units. From 2002 through 2006, the easy availability of mortgage credit led many potential purchasers of manufactured housing to opt instead for conventionally built units. The result was a declining market share for manufactured housing from 1998 through 2005.
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The collapse of overall US housing demand from 2006 through 2009 further reduced the absolute demand for manufactured housing, but it also contributed to a slight rise in market share. As mortgage credit terms tightened and lenders were less willing to write loans for conventional housing, some households turned to manufactured housing, especially for smaller, single-section units.
Other prefabricated housing types maintained a relatively steady market share over the 2002-2012 period, and as a result, the level of demand was related to overall US housing demand. As housing demand boomed, other prefabricated housing saw gains in unit demand. When housing demand collapsed, unit demand dropped as well.
US shipments to reach $4.6 billion in 2017
Trade in prefabricated housing is minimal, and shipments will generally track domestic demand. Manufactured housing shipments are expected to reach $4.6 billion in 2017, a vast improvement from the 2012 level, but still below that in 2002. Through 2017, shipments of other prefabricated housing types are projected to rise to $3.0 billion. Advances will be fueled by rising unit growth after a period of depressed demand. Price increases will account for a significant portion of this growth, as increased raw materials prices and a shifting product mix raise the average cost of units produced.
Profiles of 27 players such as American Homestar, Champion Home Builders, Clayton Homes, Fairmont Homes, Liberty Homes, and Skyline, All American Group Incorporated, Athens Park Homes, Barden & Robeson Corporation, Beaver Mountain Log & Cedar Homes Incorporated, Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated, Cavco Industries Incorporated, Century Homes, Champion Home Builders Incorporated, Coachmen Industries, Country Place Mortgage, Discovery Custom Homes, Discovery Custom Homes, Fairmont Homes Incorporated, Fleetwood Homes, Horton Industries Incorporated, Innovative Design & Building Services, Jacobsen Manufacturing Incorporated, Liberty Homes Incorporated, Live Oak Homes, Log Investors, Manufactured Housing Enterprises Incorporated, Mod-U-Kraf Homes, Muncy Homes Incorporated, Nationwide Custom Homes, Natural Spaces Domes Incorporated, Nobility Homes Incorporated, Oak Creek Homes, Original Log Cabin Homes Limited, Palm Harbor Homes, Prestige Home Centers, Professional Building Systems Incorporated & Ritz-Craft Corporation
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