los Angeles, CA (PRWEB) November 06, 2012
With the presidential election less than one week away, market watchers are estimating what kind of impact a Mitt Romney win would have on the markets, including gold prices. Gold is expected to continue its rise in 2013, reaching up to the $2,000 mark – or higher. On Oct. 23, Deutsche Bank analysts called for gold to exceed $2,200 an ounce next year. This came in light of the stimulus measures by central banks. (http://beforeitsnews.com/gold-and-precious-metals/2012/11/gold-silver-and-the-us-election-2455194.html)
Gold prices generally languish in a year leading up to a U.S. presidential election and silver prices tend to weaken as well. Bad economic news and geopolitical concerns spur investors to buy gold and silver. “For one thing, the incumbent tries to keep the public focused on any positive economic news, and that isn't good for gold,” says Terry Hanlon, president of Dillon Gage Metals in Dallas, adding that “If the past is any guide, this may be a good time to invest in precious metal coins like U.S. gold and silver American Eagles or Canadian Maple Leafs, looking for them to rise in value after the November election.”
In March 2008, gold reached more than $1,000 an ounce and then dropped to $740 in the election month of November. But after that, gold embarked on a steady advance. During President Barack Obama's Administration the price of gold, in fact, doubled. Since September 2011, though, gold has retreated heading into the November 2012 vote. It has lost more than $300 from last September's peak of $1,900 an ounce. Once the November election is over and no matter which candidate wins, the spotlight can be expected to shift back to the underlying bad news in the U.S. economy. These factors, along with Middle East tensions, are supportive for precious metals longer term. (http://www.econmatters.com/2012/10/gold-and-silver-range-bound-on-us.html)
A precious metals expert at HSBC took the historic Gold price data and tracked the price against the US presidents from the Vietnam War era to now. By overlaying Presidential job approval rating data from Gallup against Gold prices, he has determined that popularity and price are inversely correlated, meaning the less popular the President, the higher the Gold price. Whether it goes up or down after 6 November will not depend on whether a Democrat or a Republican is elected President. Historical data shows that Gold will go down in price whenever a US President is able to increase economic stability, decrease armed conflict, and avoid scandal. (http://www.livetradingnews.com/gold-prices-and-romney-vs-obama-90086.htm#.UJTQTLHMhDs)
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