Collapse of Climate Change Talks in Bonn plus the Epic Fail of Global Warming Prediction Models mean End of Climate Terror say Friends of Science

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Russia foiled the climate talks in Bonn last week by challenging the ‘consensus’ decision making process that they said often excludes them; that ‘draft agreements’ are offered up in the 11th hour for approval without their valid input. In light of revelations that global warming stopped 16 years ago, despite a rise in carbon dioxide (CO2), Friends of Science point out that computer model predictions of warming are all wrong with tropical warming trends from 1979 off by a factor of four – the evidence shows no global warming.

It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is ... If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong.

A graph published last week in Canada's prestigious Financial Post is generating climate change controversy. The comparative graph from Dr. John Christy and Dr. Roy Spencer U of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) compares 73 climate model projections to the temperature measurements from two different monitoring system: satellites and weather balloons. These model runs will be used in the upcoming assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Dr. Roy Spencer says, "Now, in what universe do [these] results not represent an epic failure for the models?"

“After nearly thirty years of a reign of psychological fear of deadly global warming, citizens of the world can relax,” said Len Maier, President of Friends of Science. “There’s no catastrophic global warming in progress – no global warming now at all, in fact.”

Some scientists have predicted frightening high temperatures saying there would be deadly consequences for people. In fact, the evidence shows global warming has stopped over 16 years ago. The IPCC has confirmed that global warming has stopped.

“People were terrified by Al Gore’s movie ‘An Inconvenient Truth’,” says Maier. “The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) made frightening predictions and governments reacted accordingly. Now we know the modellers were wrong.”

“Garbage In, Garbage Out (GIGO),” says Ken Gregory, a director of Friends of Science and an engineer who uses models for various applications himself. “A model can be a useful guide in some instances when most factors are known. "The climate modellers fail to consider natural causes of climate change. Changes in clouds and water vapor counteract the small effect of greenhouse gas emissions, contrary to climate model assumptions."

Actual global temperatures are measured by both satellites and weather balloons.
Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. John Christy, publish the UAH satellite dataset of atmosphere temperatures. The trend of the two satellite datasets is identical to the trend of the four weather balloon datasets.

Dr. Spencer writes, "I frankly don’t see how the IPCC can keep claiming that the models are 'not inconsistent with' the observations. Any sane person can see otherwise."

There has been no near-surface global warming for 16 years despite 33% of all man-made carbon dioxide emission since 1750 being produced during the period. It appears that global warming or cooling is driven by something other than carbon dioxide or emissions from fossil fuel use.

The scientific method requires theory to be modified to match observations. Ken Gregory, a director of the Friends of Science, says, "Climate modellers have apparently given up on matching their computer runs to observations." The famous physicist Dr. Richard Feynman said, "It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is ... If it doesn't agree with the experiment, it's wrong."

About Friends of Science
Friends of Science have spent a decade reviewing a broad spectrum of literature on climate change and have concluded the sun is the main driver of climate change, not carbon dioxide (CO2). The core group of the Friends of Science is made up of retired and active earth and atmospheric scientists. Membership is open to the public and available on-line.
Friends of Science Society
P.O. Box 23167, Connaught P.O.
Calgary, Alberta
Canada T2S 3B1
Toll-free Telephone: 1-888-789-9597
E-mail: contact[at]friendsofscience[dot]org

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Michelle Stirling
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