Is the Rise in SF Bay Area Home Prices a Sign of a Healthy Real Estate Market?

San Francisco has seen a record increase in home prices in recent times. ACL Real Estate and Property Management analyze whether this growth is a sign of a healthy real estate market by reviewing the recently released report by The Demand Institute.

  • Share on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on Google+Share on LinkedInEmail a friend

Source: A Tale of 2000 Cities, The Demand Institute, February 2014

Rising housing prices is not always an indicator of a healthy market because health is more a function of whether people can afford homes at those prices in the long term

San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) March 18, 2014

Analyzing the recent report published by The Demand Institute, leading real estate and property management firm ACL Real Estate and Property Management says that San Francisco is unlikely to continue to witness the double digit housing price growth it experienced in 2013.

According to their report, A Tale of 2000 Cities, published by The Demand Institute in February 2014, home prices are likely to increase by an average of 2.1% per year during 2015-2018. However, this figure does not fully reflect the huge pricing differences the nation is likely to see across region. Here is how the report sees prices across states by 2018.

The report also demonstrates the disparity between home prices and the median income, with rents in San Francisco as high as thrice the national average. The Case-Schiller House Price Index for June 2013 had put the price rise in San Francisco at 47%, the highest among all the metropolitan areas studied. This increase, The Demand Institute’s report says was “largely driven by investors buying up swaths of distressed homes to meet growing rental demand.” At the same time, the report forecasts an annual growth rate of 2.1% for single-family homes during 2015-2018, given the expectations of better equilibrium between demand and supply.

“Rising housing prices is not always an indicator of a healthy market because health is more a function of whether people can afford homes at those prices in the long term,” says a spokesperson from ACL Real Estate and Property Management. According to the report published by The Demand Institute, 41% of households faced a moderate-to-severe housing cost burden in 2013 (with 25% carrying moderate burden and another 16% carrying severe burden). The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies defines a moderate cost burden as “the need to allocate 30 to 50 percent of pretax household income to essential housing expenses: mortgage principal and interest payment, rent, insurance, taxes, and utilities,” while a severe burden occurs when this figure rises to 50 percent.

The situation is scarcely better for renters. Following the 2007-2008 recession, more and more homeowners have turned into renters, leading to rising demand for rental accommodation. According to The Demand Institute’s study, 31% of tenants in the United States are today spending about 30%-40% of their pre-tax income on housing, with one in every four spending more than 50%. So, is the San Francisco residential market really healthy?

About ACL Real Estate and Property Management: With wide experience and a proven track record in quality service and reliability, ACL Real Estate and Property Management has carved a niche for itself for its real estate and property management services in the East Bay and Peninsula areas. The company has a successful track record of assisting home owners in both selling and buying any type of property. The company also offers comprehensive property management services that ease the process of selecting tenants, maintaining the home and ensuring timely rent collection for homeowners.


Contact