A few steady trends, dating back to 1939, have shown that a pre-presidential election year tends to outperform any other year in a presidential term.
Pasadena, CA (PRWEB) July 01, 2015
Sean McGrath and his company, Capital Wealth Management, were recently featured in Worth Magazine’s Leading Wealth Advisors section.
The profile in Worth included Sean McGrath’s essay entitled, “Should election cycles influence my investment strategy?”. In his article Sean asks what history tells us about market performance as we enter an election year during the third year of a presidential term. A few steady trends, dating back to 1939, have shown that a pre-presidential election year tends to: outperform any other year in a presidential term; result in a gain in the Dow; experience an intra-year performance high during December, followed by July, September, and November.
Mr. McGrath went on to say that a few key factors account for the favorable performance during a pre-election year. For starters, on the political side, office holders tend to support pro-business policies. This adds an overall stability for both financial and business markets which tend to experience lower taxes during this period. This also appeals to voters who are hoping to see a robust economy and stock market attributed to one of the parties. The party appearing most responsible for a good economy might not only win the Oval Office but a Congressional majority as well.
While the first half of 2015 has been relatively flat, Sean notes that historical data suggests that this year could finish on a positive note. For investors, the first half may indicate that the market is losing momentum. Sean recommends that investors remain diversified in their financial portfolio.
Don Bizub, CEO of Western International Securities commented that “A pre-election year adds an air of excitement coupled with uncertainty. Hopefully some of the financial concerns are mediated by Sean’s findings that, historically, this market year could finish strong.”
Capital Wealth Management offers securities and advisory services through Western International Securities, Inc. Western is among the largest independent broker-dealers clearing through J.P. Morgan Clearing Corp. Through its clearing agreement with J.P. Morgan Clearing Corp. and Pershing LLC, Western is able to provide its Advisors with state-of-the-art financial services and support. Established in 1995, the firm is headquartered in Pasadena, CA and maintains offices nationwide.
The Worth Leading Wealth Advisors Program is an integrated marketing platform for wealth, legal and insurance advisors nationwide. Advisors who apply for admission into the program are vetted by Worth and experts at Paladin Registry to help ensure advisor quality. In order to be considered, professionals must be willing to provide complete and full disclosure to investors so that analysts can thoroughly screen and evaluate their credentials, ethics and business practices. Once admitted, advisors pay a fee to be included. For more information, please contact leadingwealthadvisors@worth.com.
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If you’d like more information, please contact Ecri Gutierrez at ecri(at)wisdirect(dot)com or 888-793-7717. Western International Securities, 70 South Lake Avenue, Pasadena, CA 91101, http://www.wisdirect.com. Member FINRA and SIPC.