Advanced Report Debris Drift Mapping MH370

Share Article

Lev Vozchikov presents an expert interpretation of MH370 debris mapping research and a computer simulation that shows the appearance of the African and Indian coastal drifts. Vozchikov worked for 20 years in Special Transportation (STA) and published a graphical prognosis of the newest known debris oceanic transport map for an Indian Oceanic region in the journal Applied Science.

The author presents a progressive interpretation of debris drift map in the area of the Oceanic crash of Malaysian Airlines flight MH370. In the meantime, the surface and underwater searches, according to the ATSB, who led the search, reported no results for wreckage of aircraft. Models of MH370 debris drifts, being consistent with a general oceanic currents direction, are partially in agreement with satellite data and known debris chronology.

The author’s research utilizes experimental approaches in the study of possible alternative crash locations for the missing MH370 aircraft. There has been a controversy regarding the site of the accident of the MH370. Recent findings suggest in a review that there could be two possible debris crash sites.

The author centered his experimental simulation on the possibility of debris transport across the North Indian Ocean to explain the unique flaperon appearance at Reunion Island. The simulations, by mapping experiments, use a graphical visualization of a possible conveying exchange for the North Gyre debris. The traced simulations, according to the examinations, have an inclination towards the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and India, that is in agreement with the debris discovered in 2016.

Findings recently indicate that fragments and wreckage debris of the MH370 flight were located near the coast of Madagascar at Reunion Island. During 2016, new debris fragments were reported off the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Madagascar. A simulation study demonstrates that there could be two possible impact sites for the crash of flight MH370.

In the study, Lev Vozchikov (http://file.scirp.org/pdf/OJAppS_2016022615425842.pdf) showed that the probable debris crash sites of MH370 could be the Indian coast or the Australian coast. The simulations and assumptions were based on drift satellite observation of ocean currents in the Indian Ocean.

Experimental simulation map results given in the article centered on the current, satellite pointed underwater location search approach. The first debris was found in 2015 off the coast of Madagascar - Reunion Island.

In the experimental simulation conducted by the author, varied comparisons of the start point made on the South and North Gyre prototypes, which allowed for the actual computation and boosting of the explanations underlying mappings of debris drift.

The advanced calculations on the NASA’s Oceanic Drift Ship simulator as made in the 2014-2015 season’s range successfully proved the positive results from the drawings developed.

The simulated computation was based on the interval statistics of oceanic debris transport - the cyclical flow of ocean currents, the surface winds of the marine region, and the data observed regarding the location of the flaperon. The time lag between the data of the accident, - March 08 2014 and the appearance of the flaperon at the Reunion Island, - 2015 was considered as the constant in the regression analysis or the simulation analysis. The graphical mapping of two alternative start points of the debris crash could be obtained from the simulation/regression satellite observer analysis. These two sites are the West Indian coast and the West Australian coast.

Drifter (flaperon) examination in a simulation resumes the possibility of traces leading to the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and India. New debris was discovered there by 2016, confirmed later as being from MH370, in South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Madagascar, which supported the precision assumptions of experimental research to forecast marine debris appearance. We can definitely conclude from the summary of the article debris appearance off the Indian Coast.

The study interval statistics indicated the strong possibility the North Indian Gyre was transporting the debris from the point of the crash. These assumptions were based on correlation data of the time of arrival of debris and the speed of the North Indian, and South Indian gyre. Initially, the search operations were based off the coast of Australia. However, the alternative methods of search based on simulation and interval statistics indicated that the site of the crash could have been the start points of North Indian Gyre.

The derived simulations off the Bengal Bay and the Australian coast traced back to the Reunion Island. It was definite that the location of the alternative points was on the seventh arc, and this in comparison indicates a possible reliable prediction as the start point. The study depicted from the summary indicates that the debris drift was closer to the Indian coast. Two points were necessary to execute to emulate the experimental graphical map. A resulting map is the best approximation known at this time.

Although the inferential statistics indicated the possibility of a North Indian gyre, the statistical analysis carried out through time-series analysis followed the transport of debris based on ocean current movements observed in the North Indian Gyre and South Indian Gyre.    

Experimental study depicted in the summary of the tracing showed that the wreckage drift was closer to the Indian coast. From the previous research published in OJAppS journal, there was no consensus regarding debris schedule, since the factual knowledge proved the presence of five debris pieces on the coast of Africa.

Author contact

Special Transportation, STA
Lev Vozchikov
Phone: 1-203-602-9958

Key Words:
Transport, debris, drift, MH370, prognosis

Share article on social media or email:

View article via:

Pdf Print

Contact Author

Lev Vozchikov