Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung & Carnegie Council - Imagining a New Asian Order 2020-2035: Implications for Security, Economics, & Democracy; October 27-28, Manila Philippines

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On October 27-28 2018, Philippine academic experts, international relations practitioners, representatives of strategic think tanks and institutions, and some government officials in Manila will gather in Manila for a workshop that aims to map out possible scenarios in the region.

The New Asian Order that is imagined for as early as 2020, and most likely by 2035, is that of a waning influence of the United States in most of Asia. In the wake of its retreat several scenarios are possible, which will be explored in this #ImagineNewAsia workshop.

On October 27-28 2018, Philippine academic experts, international relations practitioners, representatives of strategic think tanks and institutions, and some government officials in Manila will gather in Manila for a workshop, #ImagineNewAsia, that aims to map out possible scenarios in the region.

Contact Person: Gus Cerdeña, FES Philippine Office, gus(at)fes-philippines.org.

An initiative of the German social democratic political foundation Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, in partnership with the New York-based Carnegie Council's Asia Dialogues Program, this workshop is designed to be a platform of exchange among stakeholders to share analysis and insights on trends in foreign policy shifts and possible realignments, and their impact on security, economics, and democratization among countries in the region.

The “New Asian Order” that is imagined for as early as 2020, and most likely by 2035, is that of a waning influence of the United States in most of Asia and, in the wake of its "retreat," several scenarios are possible. These include a Pax Sinica, whereby China becomes the dominant regional power within the decade; or a scenario where other regional powers in Asia (e.g., India and Japan) become dominant on security and/or trade issues, as the U.S. downgrades its security presence in the Asia-Pacific; or a third scenario where a “G-Zero” situation is possible (i.e., no single power emerges as the dominant actor and rule-setter in Asian security), but instead a group of smaller regional powers, without any obvious leader, determine the region’s security dynamics.

The workshop will comprise of three main panels exploring the key issues of the “Power Shift” in Asia; the re-emergence of the "democratic Quad" in Asia; and the changing role of Europe in Asia. It is designed to be one discussion group of experts, where panel speakers are expected to briefly discuss key themes to start off the discussions/ debate with all participants.

The workshop will be attended by Philippine foreign policy and international relations experts. It will feature speakers such as Devin T. Stewart of the Carnegie Council Asia Dialogues Program and Richard Javad Heydarian, political analyst and author of “Asia's New Battlefield: The USA, China, and the Struggle for the Western Pacific”; Dr. Aileen SP Baviera of the University of the Philippines Asian Center/ Asia Pacific Pathways to Progress Foundation, Inc. (APPFI); Dr. Renato De Castro of the De La Salle University-Manila/ Stratbase ADR Institute for Strategic and International Studies; Dr. Aries Arugay of the University of the Philippines Political Science Department; Richard Ghiasy of the Stockholm International Peace and Research Institute (SIPRI); and Prof. William T. Tow and Dr. Brendan Taylor of the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs of the Australian National University, among others.

ABOUT FRIEDRICH-EBERT-STIFTUNG
The Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) is the oldest political foundation in Germany with a rich tradition in social democracy dating back to its foundation in 1925. The foundation owes its formation and its mission to the political legacy of its namesake Friedrich Ebert, the first democratically elected German president. Go to https://www.fes-philippines.org/

ABOUT CARNEGIE COUNCIL’S ASIA DIALOGUES PROGRAM
By hosting people-to-people exchanges, facilitating original research, and producing timely podcasts, videos, and reports on the most consequential moral, economic, and strategic issues of this era, Asia Dialogues advances cross-cultural dialogue and offers critical insights on how to reimagine the international system. In doing so, the program also cultivates the next generation of moral leaders across the Pacific. Go to https://www.carnegiecouncil.org/programs/asia

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Madeleine Lynn