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Net Lease Retail and Office Sector Cap Rates Expand in Q2


News provided by

The Boulder Group

Jul 02, 2022, 11:15 ET

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Cap rates in the single tenant net lease sector increased slightly or were unchanged in the second quarter of 2022

WILMETTE, Ill., July 02, 2022  /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- The Boulder Group announced the release of its 2nd Quarter Net Lease Research Report today. Cap rates in the single tenant net lease sector increased slightly or were unchanged in the second quarter of 2022. Single tenant cap rates increased by 5 and 7 basis points for the retail and office categories respectively. Cap rates for single tenant industrial remained at the prior quarter's level.

"Following record low cap rate levels for all three asset classes in the first quarter of 2022, the increase in borrowing costs and the current inflationary environment were the main determining factors for the change in cap rates" says Randy Blankstein, President, The Boulder Group.

Cap rates in the single tenant net lease sector increased slightly or were unchanged in the second quarter of 2022

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During the second quarter of 2022, the Federal Reserve announced two rate hikes. One in May for 50 basis points and another in June of 75 basis points – the Federal Reserve's largest rate hike since 1994. Accordingly, for the first time since late 2018, the 10 year treasury yield surpassed 3.00%, peaking near 3.50% in mid-June. This correlated to higher borrowing costs and created a pause for some net lease investors looking to acquire assets at higher cap rates.

"Some sellers may choose to hold assets versus a sale given a decline in value," adds Jimmy Goodman, Partner, The Boulder Group. "Consequently, transaction volume in the second quarter of 2022 was down approximately 15% when compared the same time period in 2021."

Lower priced net lease properties experienced less impact in pricing due to the higher likelihood of cash purchasers.

"Higher priced properties faced more upward cap rate pressure as net lease investors saw diminished leveraged returns for these assets as borrowing costs increased" John Feeney, Senior Vice President, The Boulder Group adds.

Aside from CMBS lending which remains volatile, net lease lending terms remained status quo with the exception of interest rates. Rising rates caused lenders to constrain loan proceeds, limiting loan-to-value in order to keep healthy debt service coverage ratios.

Net lease investors will be carefully monitoring the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and its impact on the capital markets. Transaction activity will remain dependent on the velocity of 1031 buyers motivated by tax consequences and seller's willingness to move to pricing that meets non-1031 buyer's return thresholds.
"Cap rates will continue to face upward pressure as additional rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are expected in 2022" according to Blankstein. "However, the limited supply of properties with long term leases to credit tenants will keep competition amongst investors."

To view the full report: https://bouldergroup.com/media/pdf/2022-Q2-Net-Lease-Research-Report.pdf

About The Boulder Group

The Boulder Group is a boutique, Chicago-based investment real estate services firm specializing in transaction and advisory services for single tenant net lease properties. Founded in 1997, the firm has closed over $6 billion of net lease property transactions. The firm provides a full range of brokerage, research, advisory, and financing services nationwide. The level of annual, single-tenant transaction volume consistently ranks the firm in the top 10 companies nationally, according to industry benchmarks determined by CoStar and Real Capital Analytics.

Media Contact

Randy Blankstein, The Boulder Group, 1 847-562-0003, [email protected]

SOURCE The Boulder Group

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