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J.S. Held's Lender Survey from Phoenix Management Reveals Shifting Lender Sentiment Amid Economic Uncertainty


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J.S. Held

Sep 08, 2025, 11:07 ET

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J.S. Held | Find Your Expert.®
J.S. Held | Find Your Expert.®

Q3 2025 Lending Climate in America survey results show increased optimism, relaxed loan structures, and renewed confidence in expansion plans.

JERICHO, N.Y., Sept. 8, 2025 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- Global consulting firm J.S. Held reveals the "Lending Climate in America" survey results from Phoenix Management, a part of J.S. Held. The third quarter survey results highlight the persisting lender views on policy decisions and their national/global impacts.

Phoenix's Q3 2025 "Lending Climate in America" survey asked lenders which factors could have the strongest potential to impact the economy in the upcoming six months. Thirty-nine percent of lenders are paying the most attention to overall political uncertainty, while another 36% of lenders believe overall policy risk (focused on interest rates) has the strongest potential to impact the economy. Lenders also remained moderately concerned about the possibility of a US recession, but much less so than in Q2. To see the full results of Phoenix's "Lending Climate in America" Survey, please visit https://www.phoenixmanagement.com/lending-survey/.

Lenders revealed what actions their customers may take in the next six months. Over half of the surveyed lenders believe their customers will raise additional capital, while introducing new products and making acquisitions both yielded around 35% of surveyed lenders expressing those plans for their customers, a meaningfully higher amount than in Q2, reflecting greater optimism.

Fifty-five percent of respondents identified the retail trade industry as the most likely to experience volatility in the next six months, followed by the real estate (rentals/leasing) industry at 40% of respondents.

Additionally, Phoenix's "Lending Climate in America" survey asked lenders if their respective institutions plan to tighten, maintain, or relax their loan structures for various sized loans. Q3 results showed a slight migration from maintain to relax, as the tariff situation stabilizes and lenders begin to migrate away from their previous "wait and see" approach.

Lender optimism in the US economy increased for the near term, moving from 2.10 in Q2 2025 to 2.58. In this current quarter, while expectations for the US economy's performance in the longer term also increased from 2.53 to 2.71, both are indicative of a stabilizing outlook regarding tariffs and a continued expectation for a reduction in interest rates.

"Borrowers are increasingly planning for expansion and acquisitions, and lenders are showing a more optimistic outlook for U.S. economic performance in both the short and long term," says Michael Jacoby, Senior Managing Director at J.S. Held. "We're seeing a slight shift toward relaxing loan standards, a trend we expect to continue through the end of 2025, especially if the Fed moves forward with the anticipated interest rate reduction."

About Phoenix Management, a part of J.S. Held

For over 35 years, Phoenix has provided smarter, operationally focused solutions for middle market companies in transition.

Phoenix Management Services® provides turnaround, crisis and interim management, and specialized advisory for both distressed and growth-oriented companies. Phoenix Investor Services® provides quality of earnings, operational diligence, Quality of Enterprise®, business integration, sell-side business preparation, and other transaction related support. Phoenix IB® provides seamless investment banking solutions including M&A advisory, complex restructurings, and capital placements.

As a part of J.S. Held, Phoenix works alongside more than 1,500 professionals globally and assists clients – corporations, insurers, law firms, governments, and institutional investors.

J.S. Held is a global consulting firm that combines technical, scientific, financial, and strategic expertise to advise clients seeking to realize value and mitigate risk. Our professionals serve as trusted advisors to organizations facing high stakes matters demanding urgent attention, staunch integrity, proven experience, clear-cut analysis, and an understanding of both tangible and intangible assets. The firm provides a comprehensive suite of services, products, and data that enable clients to navigate complex, contentious, and often catastrophic situations.

More than 1,500 professionals serve organizations across six continents, including 84% of the Global 200 Law Firms, 75% of the Forbes Top 20 Insurance Companies (90% of the NAIC Top 50 Property & Casualty Insurers), and 71% of Fortune 100 Companies.

J.S. Held, its affiliates and subsidiaries are not certified public accounting firm(s) and do not provide audit, attest, or any other public accounting services. J.S. Held is not a law firm and does not provide legal advice. Securities offered through PM Securities, LLC, d/b/a Phoenix IB or Ocean Tomo Investments, a part of J.S. Held, member FINRA/SIPC. All rights reserved.

Media Contact

Kristi L Stathis, J.S. Held, +1 786-833-4864, [email protected], JSHeld.com

SOURCE J.S. Held

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Lending Climate in America Survey Highlights
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Lending Climate in America Survey Highlights
Lending Climate in America Survey Highlights

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