Top Castle Rock real estate team shares its Q4 outlook for inventory, pricing, and buyer demand—drawing on housing data trends and on-the-ground insights from The Thayer Group.
CASTLE ROCK, Colo., Oct. 14, 2025 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- The Thayer Group, a leading Castle Rock real estate team, released commentary on the Fall 2025 market in Castle Rock, forecasting a steady but competitive fourth quarter as months of supply trends down and motivated buyers re-enter the market. Drawing on REcolorado® MLS data from 2025 and daily activity across Douglas County, the team expects pricing to remain resilient while well-prepared listings capture outsized attention.
"Based on what we saw through Q3, Castle Rock remains one of the Denver metro's healthiest submarkets," said Steve Thayer, Managing Broker/Owner, The Thayer Group. "Sellers who price strategically and present beautifully are still winning in the first two weeks on market, while buyers are benefiting from a little more choice than they had last spring."
Q4 Expectations for Castle Rock
- Inventory: Months of supply trending down vs. Q3, signaling tightening conditions without tipping into oversupply
- Pricing: Median sale price holding around $670,000 with premium results for updated, move-in-ready homes.
- Days on Market: Well-priced homes continue to secure offers within 40 to 50 days; over-priced homes see extended timelines.
- Buyer Demand: Relocation and move-up segments remain active; rate-sensitive buyers emphasize payment over price.
Market Snapshot (Castle Rock; all residential properties; September 2025)
- New Listings: 217 (+5.3% YoY)
- Active Inventory: 599 (+14.3% YoY)
- Pending Sales: 141 (-6.0% YoY)
- Close-to-List Price Ratio: 98.8% (-1.2% YoY)
- Average Price per Sq. Ft.: $253/sqft (-2.3% YoY)
- Months Supply of Inventory: 4.0 months (+8.1% YoY)
- Average Time on Market: 55 days (+25.0% YoY)
Guidance for Sellers
- Nail fundamentals: price to the market, stage professionally, and launch with strong media.
- Prioritize pre-list prep: repairs, curb appeal, and a standout first week on market.
- Use data: align with neighborhood-level comps and current absorption rates.
Guidance for Buyers
- Get fully underwritten and lock rates early when possible.
- Target homes that need light cosmetic updates to find value.
- Move quickly on A-grade listings; negotiate confidently on longer-sitting homes.
Homeowners and buyers can learn more about the local real estate market from The Thayer Group and schedule a strategy session at thethayergroup.com/contact. For active listings and neighborhood insights, explore thethayergroup.com/neighborhood/157201518/castlerock or call 720-663-1224.
About The Thayer Group | Colorado's Premier Real Estate Team
The Thayer Group is a Castle Rock–based, family-owned and operated real estate team serving Douglas County and the greater Denver Metro Area. Known for data-driven guidance, concierge-level listing prep, and negotiation expertise, the team helps clients buy and sell with confidence across price points—from first-time homes to luxury estates. Recognized as the best realtors in Castle Rock, The Thayer Group has over 30 years of local experience and expertise, with 540+ completed transactions totalling more than $350M+ worth of real estate sales, ranking in the top 1% of real estate brokers internationally. Learn more at thethayergroup.com.
Source: All data from REcolorado®. REcolorado® is a registered trademark of REcolorado © 2021 REcolorado. All rights reserved. InfoSparks © 2025 ShowingTime Plus, LLC. Analysis by The Thayer Group. Market conditions may vary by neighborhood and property type.
Media Contact
Cooper Thayer, The Thayer Group, 1 7206631224, [email protected], https://www.thethayergroup.com/
SOURCE The Thayer Group
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